Pockets of Affordable Housing Exist Within the Most Expensive Markets

Even in metros where homebuyers have the biggest mortgage burdens, some cities within those metros provide relatively affordable housing options.

The San Jose metro has been one of the hottest housing markets in the country. Homebuyers in Palo Alto can expect to spend 75 percent of their income on a house paymenti. But just 15 miles away, buyers in Milpitas, Calif. need only spend 35 percent.

This example of disparity in the Silicon Valley demonstrates how hot housing markets are fueled by cities where high demand for jobs and amenities drive housing values to far outpace incomes. The phenomenon is one reason there is more inequality in very expensive markets.

Zillow’s latest research on mortgage burdens at the city level illustrates how hot spots within popular housing markets have caused runaway housing costs that place significant burdens on the people who live and work there, even as the cities next door remain more affordable. However, choosing a more affordable city likely requires trade-offs, such as fewer amenities or longer commutes.

“The Bay Area and other expensive West Coast markets get a lot of attention for being unaffordable, but even they have some areas where the share of income spent on housing is relatively low,” said Zillow Chief Economist Dr. Svenja Gudell. “Of course, buyers have to be willing to make some trade-offs to live in more affordable cities within the metro. Some cities in the most in-demand housing markets across the country have such a high housing burden that they are simply not feasible for buyers with lower incomes. If income growth doesn’t keep pace with home value growth, especially as mortgage rates rise, inequality will persist.”

In San Francisco, the flourishing tech industry and physical boundaries of the city have created a housing market with a high housing burden – buyers in San Francisco need to spend nearly 54 percent of their income on mortgage payments. Across the bay, homebuyers in Oakland fare a little better. Mortgage payments there require 42 percent of the typical household income.

Within the Seattle metro, Bellevue buyers would have to spend the greatest share of income on housing – 29.6 percent. Less than 10 miles away, Kirkland buyers only need to set aside 22 percent of their income to pay their mortgage.

This phenomenon doesn’t play out in less heated housing markets. Buyers in almost any part of the Kansas City metro, for example, can expect to spend between 7.3 percent and 13.2 percent of their income on a mortgage.

Similarly, buyers in the Las Vegas metro can expect to spend between 14.4 and 18.9 percent of their income on mortgage payments, no matter which city they are in.

Buyers moving to the Detroit suburbs will have similar mortgage burdens, with buyers having to spend between 10.2 and 15.3 percent of their income on mortgage payments. The city of Detroit itself has the smallest mortgage burden in the country – just 5.9 percent of the typical income needed to pay the monthly mortgage.

Metropolitan Area

Metro-level
Mortgage
Burdenii, 2015

City with the
Smallest
Mortgage
Burden, 2015

City with the
Greatest Mortgage
Burden, 2015

United States

14.6%

Detroit, MI – 5.9%

Palo Alto, CA – 75.4%

New York/Northern New Jersey

24.9%

Brentwood, NY — 14.7%

Passaic, NJ — 45.7%

Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA

39.7%

Lancaster, CA — 18.5%

Santa Monica, CA — 66.1%

Chicago, IL

14.0%

Gary, IN — 6.8%

Evanston, IL — 20.1%

Dallas-Fort Worth, TX

12.6%

Grand Prairie, TX — 10.6%

Lewisville, TX — 16.1%

Philadelphia, PA

14.2%

Camden, NJ — 11.8%

Wilmington, DE — 13.7%

Houston, TX

11.9%

Pasadena, TX — 9.6%

Baytown, TX — 9.9%

Washington, DC

17.8%

Waldorf, MD — 13.1%

Washington, DC — 29.9%

Miami-Fort Lauderdale, FL

19.5%

Lauderhill, FL — 10.3%

Miami, FL — 42.8%

Atlanta, GA

11.8%

Johns Creek, GA — 14.0%

Sandy Springs, GA — 26.4%

Boston, MA

21.7%

Lowell, MA — 21.3%

Boston, MA — 35.9%

San Francisco, CA

39.0%

Antioch, CA — 21.9%

Berkeley, CA — 58.4%

Detroit, MI

10.3%

Detroit, MI — 5.9%

Rochester Hills, MI — 15.3%

Riverside, CA

23.6%

Victorville, CA — 18.1%

Upland, CA — 35.2%

Phoenix, AZ

16.8%

San Tan Valley, AZ — 12.0%

Scottsdale, AZ — 23.6%

Seattle, WA

21.4%

Marysville, WA — 16.2%

Bellevue, WA — 29.6%

Minneapolis-St Paul, MN

13.8%

Maple Grove, MN — 12.4%

Minneapolis, MN — 17.1%

San Diego, CA

33.0%

Chula Vista, CA — 29.5%

El Cajon, CA — 39.4%

St. Louis, MO

11.0%

Saint Louis, MO — 11.6%

Saint Charles, MO — 12.7%

Tampa, FL

14.3%

Riverview, FL — 11.3%

Clearwater, FL — 16.0%

Baltimore, MD

15.5%

Baltimore, MD — 11.8%

Ellicott City, MD — 20.4%

Denver, CO

19.6%

Highlands Ranch, CO — 16.3%

Denver, CO — 25.0%

Pittsburgh, PA

10.6%

Pittsburgh, PA — 11.1%

 n/aiii

Portland, OR

20.8%

Hillsboro, OR — 17.1%

Portland, OR — 24.1%

Charlotte, NC

12.7%

Gastonia, NC — 11.3%

Rock Hill, SC — 14.9%

Sacramento, CA

23.3%

Elk Grove, CA — 18.3%

Davis, CA — 44.4%

San Antonio, TX

11.8%

New Braunfels, TX — 14.3%

 n/a

Orlando, FL

15.5%

Pine Hills, FL — 10.5%

Kissimmee, FL — 14.9%

Cincinnati, OH

11.1%

Cincinnati, OH — 14.2%

 n/a

Cleveland, OH

11.1%

Parma, OH — 8.3%

Lorain, OH — 8.3%

Kansas City, MO

10.8%

Kansas City, KS — 7.3%

Overland Park, KS — 13.2%

Las Vegas, NV

16.8%

Enterprise, NV — 14.4%

Paradise, NV — 18.9%

Columbus, OH

11.9%

Columbus, OH — 10.7%

n/a

Indianapolis, IN

11.4%

Fishers, IN — 8.5%

Carmel, IN — 12.1%

San Jose, CA

39.4%

Milpitas, CA — 34.8%

Palo Alto, CA — 75.4%

Austin, TX

15.9%

Round Rock, TX — 13.0%

Austin, TX — 20.3%

Zillow
Zillow® is the leading real estate and rental marketplace dedicated to empowering consumers with data, inspiration and knowledge around the place they call home, and connecting them with the best local professionals who can help. In addition, Zillow operates an industry-leading economics and analytics bureau led by Zillow’s Chief Economist Dr. Svenja Gudell. Dr. Gudell and her team of economists and data analysts produce extensive housing data and research covering more than 450 markets at Zillow Real Estate Research. Zillow also sponsors the quarterly Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey, which asks more than 100 leading economists, real estate experts and investment and market strategists to predict the path of the Zillow Home Value Index over the next five years. Launched in 2006, Zillow is owned and operated by Zillow Group (NASDAQ:Z and ZG), and headquartered in Seattle.

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